Uncertainty the only sure thing as market chaos reigns
Equities and commodities have whipsawed at the whims of erratic US trade policy but worrying signs are emerging in the plumbing that holds markets together.
The economy
The Australian share market has finished the week down after a tariff delay wasn't enough to offset worries over an escalating US-China trade war.
The bonds market upheaval that threatened to crash the US financial system and forced Donald Trump's hand highlighted vulnerabilities for Australian banks.
As rate-cut bets see-saw, the Reserve Bank governor says Australia is well placed for overseas shocks in her first speech since Donald Trump's tariff thump.
Update
Australian shares post biggest daily gain in five years
Australian shares have rebounded strongly after US President Donald Trump delayed his latest round of tariffs as the US-China trade war escalates.
Update
Australian shares bounce back from six-month lows
Australian shares have posted their best daily gain for 2025, about a quarter of the last three sessions' losses, as a global trade war weighs on markets.
Update
Red Monday as tariff war fuels US recession fears
Australian shares have resumed their spiral after China joined Canada in hitting back against US tariffs and futures markets suggest there is more pain ahead.
Australian shares have tumbled after Donald Trump's tariffs rocked equities worldwide, raising fears for Australians' retirement incomes and the economy.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept the cash rate unchanged at 4.1 per cent, but more mortgage relief could soon be on the way.
Inflation continues to ease, with the headline figure falling 0.1 per cent in February, but it likely won't be enough to prompt an interest rate cut until May.
Fewer older Australians returned to work in February, driving a surprise fall in jobs and workforce participation but the labour market remains tight overall.
Australia's economic growth forecasts have been downgraded due to Donald Trump's trade war, keeping its most important financial leaders on their toes.
Stretched valuations, risk of a US recession and lingering geopolitical issues have set the scene for an unsteady 2025 for global and Australian shares.
One state has gone backwards in the latest recommended GST revenue carve-up with billions of dollars flowing to another as its population booms.
Australia's economic outlook is looking rosier as inflation continues to fall and following the first decline in interest rates in more than four years.
Australia's bottom line will be $11 billion better off, if the government releases a budget before the election, a leading economist predicts.
Australia's wealth divide reached its worst level in more than two decades, after excluding a temporary narrowing during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Stronger goods and services exports have pushed the Australian economy out of a hole, with GDP rising 0.6 per cent in the December quarter, above RBA forecasts.
Fresh inflation figures should help convince the Reserve Bank to cut rates again in May, despite a slight uptick in underlying price growth, economists say.
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